Northern Sky Research

Small Satellite Markets, 4th Edition

Published: December 2017

Available Licenses:

  • Standard: $4,295  
  • Enterprise: $8,295

NSR Report Deliverables

NSR delivers clarity and critical market insight.

Dozens of manufacturers, satellite operators, and launch service providers have entered the small satellite market, eager to capture a stake in the fastest growing segment of the space industry. Yet, simultaneously, emerging players have entered and departed from this very market, unable to find the revenue or investment for sustained operations. What do these dynamics mean for market growth, and how much potential does the smallsat market really have?

NSR’s proprietary database of small satellites, launch service providers, and platforms, complemented by years of in-depth discussions with industry stakeholders, provides the most comprehensive view of the industry. Small Satellite Markets, 4th Edition (SSM4) leverages this expertise and market intelligence across verticals, regions, and operators within the 1-500 kg mass range to deliver an industry leading analysis on the current state of the market, including demand forecasts for each mass segment, application, and region over the coming decade. SSM4 is the must-have report for existing and emerging players and investors seeking to succeed in the rapidly evolving small satellite ecosystem. 

This report addresses the Key Questions facing the Smallsat Market:

  • Will proposed constellations make it to market?
  • What impact will dedicated small satellite launchers have on future launch arrangements? 
  • Where are the peaks and troughs within launch activity?
  • Which applications exhibit the most growth potential?
  • How competitive are the manufacturing and launch markets?
  • Are the types of smallsat operators diversifying?
  • Is the mass evolving for small satellites? 
  • What are the CAPEX requirements of deploying and maintaining a constellation?
  • Is the business model changing from in-house manufacturing to external manufacturers?
  • How are advances in downlink impacting smallsat communications applications?

Bottom Line: How does NSR see the small satellite market evolve and grow over the next decade?

Data Segmentation:

NSR’s Small Satellite Markets, 4th Edition provides a comprehensive assessment of the current and future market through an analysis of six applications, each further segmented into five regions and four operator types across four mass categories.

The Report Includes:

  • A base forecast of the number of satellites to launch in each application, region, mass range, and by operator types
  • Manufacturing and Launch Revenue forecasts for each application, region, and mass range
  • 2016 Manufacturer and Launch Service Provider market share
  • Pricing trends
  • Assessment of Constellation landscape and CAPEX dynamics

 

Regions Covered:

  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Europe
  • Middle East & Africa
  • Asia

Who Should Purchase the Report:

  • Investors and Financial Institutions
  • Government Agencies active in Space, Defense, Scientific Research, & Education
  • Satellite Operators
  • Satellite Manufacturers and Integrators
  • Sub-system & Component Manufacturers
  • Launch Service Providers
  • Launch Vehicle Manufacturers
  • Ground Systems Manufacturers & Service Providers
  • Regulatory Agencies and Policy Makers
  • Data Analytics Companies

Executive Summary

Scope, Segmentation, & Definitions

1. Market Overview
1.1. Market Characterization
   1.1.1. 2016 Market Performance 
   1.1.2. 2012 – 2016 Trends
   1.1.3. Investment in Small Sats
1.2. Constellations 
   1.2.1. Main Players
   1.2.2. Market Saturation & Competition
   1.2.3. CAPEX Analysis
1.3. Manufacturing Assessment
   1.3.1. Manufacturing Competitive Landscape
   1.3.2. Manufacturing Market Share
1.4. Launch Services Assessment
   1.4.1. Launch Competitive Landscape
   1.4.2. Launch Provider Market Share
   1.4.3. Launch Procurement Analysis
1.5. Downlink & Communications Assessment
   1.5.1. Main Players
   1.5.2. Downlink & Communications Competitive Landscape

2. Market Forecasts
2.1. Global Forecasts
   2.1.1. Global Forecast by Application
   2.1.2. Global Forecast by Mass Category
   2.1.3. Global Forecast by Region
   2.1.4. Global Forecast by Operator Type
   2.1.5. Constellation and Non-Constellation Forecasts
   2.1.6. Constellation Forecasts by Application
   2.1.7. Scenarios
2.2. Technology Development Forecasts
   2.2.1. Technology Development Market Landscape
   2.2.2. Regional Trends
   2.2.3. Mass Trends
   2.2.4. Operator Trends
   2.2.5. Manufacturing & Launch Market Size
   2.2.6. Comparison with Previous Edition
2.3. Earth Observation Forecasts
   2.3.1. Earth Observation Market Landscape
   2.3.2. Regional Trends
   2.3.3. Mass Trends
   2.3.4. Operator Trends
   2.3.5. Manufacturing & Launch Market Size
   2.3.6. Comparison with Previous Edition
2.4. Science Forecasts
   2.4.1. Science Market Landscape
   2.4.2. Regional Trends
   2.4.3. Mass Trends
   2.4.4. Operator Trends
   2.4.5. Manufacturing & Launch Market Size
   2.4.6. Comparison with Previous Edition
2.5. Situational Awareness Forecasts
   2.5.1. Situational Awareness Market Landscape
   2.5.2. Regional Trends
   2.5.3. Mass Trends
   2.5.4. Operator Trends
   2.5.5. Manufacturing & Launch Market Size
   2.5.6. Comparison with Previous Edition
2.6. Communication Forecasts
   2.6.1. Communication Market Landscape
   2.6.2. Regional Trends
   2.6.3. Mass Trends
   2.6.4. Operator Trends
   2.6.5. Manufacturing & Launch Market Size
   2.6.6. Comparison with Previous Edition
2.7. Others Forecasts
   2.7.1. Others Market Landscape
   2.7.2. Regional Trends
   2.7.3. Mass Trends
   2.7.4. Operator Trends
   2.7.5. Manufacturing & Launch Market Size
   2.7.6. Comparison with Previous Edition

Appendix: Methodology

List of Exhibits

Executive Summary
   Global Small Satellites to Launch by Application
   Small Satellite Launch Rate Distribution
   Small Satellite Launch Rate Distribution, 2017-2026
   Constellation & Non-Constellation Smallsat Launches by Region
   Global Small Satellites to Launch & Market Value
   1-500 kg Market Trends

Scope & Definitions
   Vertical Definitions
   Regional Definitions
   Mass Definitions
   Operator Definitions

Market Overview
   1-500 kg Satellite Launch Rate
   1-500 kg Manufacturing and Launch Revenue
   2016 Manufacturing and Launch Revenue
   Global Small Satellite Application Breakdown
   Global Small Satellite Mass Breakdown
   Global Small Satellite Regional Breakdown
   Global Small Satellite Operator Breakdown
   Small Satellite Market Investment
   Small Satellite Market Investment by Region
   Small Satellite Market Investment by Application
   Mass, CAPEX per kg, & Constellation Size
   Mass, Replenishment CAPEX per kg, & Constellation Size
   Average CAPEX & Replenishment Cost by System Type
   Constellation A (Mass Class 1-10kg)
   Constellation B (Mass Class 10-50kg)
   Average CAPEX Share Constellation A
   Average CAPEX Share Constellation B
   Constellation C (Mass Class 1-10kg)
   Constellation D (Mass Class 10-50kg)
   Average CAPEX Share Constellation C
   Average CAPEX Share Constellation D
   Constellation E (Mass Class 1-10kg)
   Constellation F (Mass Class 50-100kg)
   Constellation G (Mass Class 100-500kg)
   Current CAPEX Ratio by Mass Class
   Market Share by Unit, 2012-2016
   Market Share by Unit, 2016
   Commercial Manufacturing Activity, 2012-2016
   Manufacturing Distribution by Operator, 2012-2016
   Manufacturing Distribution by Application, 2012-2016
   Constellation Manufacturing Plan
   Type of Launch, 2012-2016
   Launch Service Provider Market Share by Unit, 2012 – 2016
   Launch Service Provider Market Share by Unit excluding Cargo, 2012 – 2016
   Emerging Dedicated Smallsat Launch Vehicles 
   Smallsat Launch Type Projection
   Downlink and Communications Competitive Landscape
   Ground Station Network Operators Map

Market Forecast
   Global Small Satellites to Launch by Application 
   2016-2026 Market by Application Evolution
   Global Total Market Value by Application
   Global Satellites to Launch by Mass Segment
   2016-2026 Market by Mass Evolution
   Global Total Market Value by Mass Segment
   Global Small Satellites to Launch by Region
   2016-2026 Market by Region Evolution
   Global Total Market Value by Region
   Global Small Satellites to Launch by Operator 
   2016-2026 Market by Operator Type Evolution
   Global Small Satellites to Launch by Operator, 2017-2026
   Constellation & Non-Constellation Smallsats to Launch
   Constellation & Non-Constellation Smallsats to Launch by Region, 2017-2026
   Constellation Small Satellites to Launch by Application
   Smallsat Launch Rate Scenarios
   Launch Rate Scenario Comparison

   Technology Development Market Evolution
   Tech Dev 1-10 kg Satellites Launched
   Tech Dev 1-10 kg Satellites Launched by Operator
   Tech Dev 1-10 kg Satellite Total Market Value, by Region
   Tech Dev 1-10 kg Total Market Value, 2017-2026
   Tech Dev 10-50 kg Satellites Launched by Operator
   Tech Dev 10-50 kg Regional Distribution,2016
   Tech Dev 10-50 kg Regional Distribution,2026
   Tech Dev 10-50 kg Total Market Value
   Tech Dev 10-50 kg Satellite Total Market Value, by Region, 2017-2026
   Tech Dev 50-100 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Tech Dev 50-100 kg Satellites Launched
   Tech Dev 50-100 kg Satellite Manufacturing Market Value
   Tech Dev 50-100 kg Total Market Value
   Tech Dev 100-500 kg Total Market Value
   Tech Dev 100-500 kg Satellites Launched by Region

   Earth Observation Market Evolution
   Earth Observation 1-10 kg Satellites to Launch
   Earth Observation 1-10kg Launch Rate Distribution, 2017-2026
   1-10 kg Share of EO Smallsat Market
   Earth Observation 1-10 kg Total Market Value
   Earth Observation 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch
   Earth Observation 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Earth Observation 10-50 kg Total Market Value
   Earth Observation 10-50 kg Satellite Total Market Value, by Region
   Earth Observation 50-100 kg Satellites to Launch
   Earth Observation 50-100 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator, 2017-2026
   Earth Observation 50-100 kg Total Market Value
   Earth Observation 50-100 kg Segment Comparison
   Earth Observation 50-100 kg Satellite Manufacturing and Launch Market Value
   Earth Observation 100-500 kg Satellites to Launch
   Earth Observation 100-500 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Earth Observation 100-500 kg Total Market Value
   Earth Observation 100-500 kg Satellites to Launch, 2027-2026
   Earth Observation 100-500 kg Total Market Value, 2027-2026
   Earth Observation Satellite Launches Comparison

   Science Market Evolution
   Science 1-10 kg Satellites to Launch
   Science 1-10 kg Satellites to Launch by Application, 2017-2026
   Science 1-10 kg Satellites to Launch by Region, 2017-2026
   Science 1-10 kg Total Market Value
   Science 1-10 kg Satellite Total Market Value by region 
   Science 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Science 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch
   Science 10-50 kg Total Market Value
   Science 10-50 kg Total Market Value by Region
   50-100 kg Satellites to Launch, by Region 2017-2026
   Science 50-100 kg Total Market Value
   Science 100-500 kg Satellites to Launch by Region 
   Science 100-500 kg Satellites Launched by Application 
   Science 100-500 kg Total Market Value by Region 
   Science 100-500 kg Total Market Value
   Science Satellite Launched Comparison

   Situational Awareness Market Evolution
   Situational Awareness 1-10 kg Satellites to Launch, by Region 
   Situational Awareness 1-10 kg Satellites to Launch, by Operator 
   1-10 kg Share of SA Smallsat Market, Launch Rate and Revenue 
   Situational Awareness 1-10 kg Satellite Total Market Value, by Region
   Situational Awareness 1-10 kg Total Market Value
   Situational Awareness 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch
   Situational Awareness 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch, by Region and Application, 2017-2026
   Situational Awareness 10-50 kg Satellite Total Market Value, by Region
   10-50 kg Share of SA Smallsat Market, Launch Rate and Revenue
   Situational Awareness 50-100 kg Satellites to Launch
   Situational Awareness 50-100 kg Total Market Value, by Region and Application, 2017-2026
   Situational Awareness 100-500 kg Satellites to Launch, by Region
   Situational Awareness 100-500 kg Total Market Value
   Situational Awareness 100-500 kg Total Market Value, by Region, 2017-2026
   Situational Awareness Satellite Launches Comparison

   Communications Market Evolution
   Communication 1-10 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Communication 1-10 kg Total Market Value
   Communication 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch, by Region
   Communication 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator, 2017-2026
   Communication 10-50 kg Satellite Total Market Value, 2017-2026
   Communications 10-50 kg Segment Comparison
   Communication 100-500 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Communication 100-500 kg Satellites to Launch
   Communication 100-500 kg Total Market Value
   Communication 100-500 kg Total Market Value, by Region
   Communication Satellite Launches Comparison

   Others Market Evolution
   Others 1-10 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Sample Crowd Funding Campaigns 
   Others 1-10 kg Satellite Total Market Value, by Region
   Others 1-10 kg Total Market Value
   Others 1-10 kg Satellite Total Market Value, by Region, 2017-2026
   Others 10-50 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Others 10-50 kg Satellite Total Market Value, by Region
   Others 50-100 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Others 50-100 kg Total Market Value, by Region
   Others 100-500 kg Satellites to Launch by Operator
   Others 100-500 kg Total Market Value, by Region
   Others Satellite Launches Comparison
 
Methodology
   NSR Forecast Methodology: Base Data
   NSR Growth Rate Process
   Small Satellite Cost Drivers
   Interviewees
   Operators Interviewed, by Manufacturing Plan